October
17, 2014 was the execution date set for the political careers of the sitting Niagara
Falls City Council members.
Throngs
of social media pundits and city council hopefuls whipped their followers into frenzy,
cocked and ready to unleash a “clean sweep” of the City council chamber.
As the dust settled, the citizens of Niagara Falls realized that instead of the clean sweep, all but one of the incumbents survived and to drive home the point that this is “Incumbent Country”, the voters returned two past/retired councilors to chambers.
As the dust settled, the citizens of Niagara Falls realized that instead of the clean sweep, all but one of the incumbents survived and to drive home the point that this is “Incumbent Country”, the voters returned two past/retired councilors to chambers.
Going
into the elections, there were 8 city councilors. 6 ran, 5 won. Shirley Fisher, the single unsuccessful incumbent, had only gained a council spot earlier that year by default when then councilor Wayne Gates transitioned to provincial politics. Ms. Fisher, being the 9th place holder from the 2010 elections, she was slotted into the Gates’s vacated council seat.
Two councilors (W. Bart Maves and Janice Wing) did not seek re-election.
From
the electorate standpoint, only 36.7% of the Niagara Falls electorate even bothered
to vote.
Niagara
Falls municipality uses the ‘at-large” system. To satisfy the electoral
requirement for 8 councilors, the voters had added two retired politicians and
a popular real estate agent/Olympiad/bar-owner along with the five incumbents
to the 2014-2018 city council.
"The
at-large system is known to give huge advantages to incumbents and popular
personalities"
What
may be considered a side-effect of the at-large system is “name-recognititis”
That is as a result of being overwhelmed by the amount of candidates, one will
simply vote for names they recognize.
This
gives the incumbents and popular individuals a considerable advantage over
fresh, new faces.
In
the case of the 2014 elections, the advantage was so overwhelming that at least
one of the newly elected councilors did not even make the effort to run a real
campaign. The name was recognizable and familiar enough for it to be checked on
the ballot among the 8.
The
Mayor on the other-hand, despite a guaranteed landslide win, ran a full-fledged
campaign. Financial records show the Mayor raised over $70K during the 2010
election, and in the 2014 elections, he was able to outspent his contenders 40-1.
The overwhelming return of the incumbents and election of popular candidates however can justifiably be credited to the at-large system of municipal governance does provide the advantage to incumbents and candidates who enjoy local popularity.
The overwhelming return of the incumbents and election of popular candidates however can justifiably be credited to the at-large system of municipal governance does provide the advantage to incumbents and candidates who enjoy local popularity.
Denied
the superhuman capacity to choose 8 candidates from a pool of 30+ based off
performance and substance, the electorate simply puts a mark beside 8 familiar
names.
What
does this mean for challengers?
It
means that persons aspiring to enter the municipal leadership core should find
ways to be relevant and popular during the 4 years leading up to elections.
Waiting to campaign during the elections in an at-large system has proven to be
a colossal waste of time and resources. Consider that the electorate is tasked
to elect eight councilors from a roster of thirty-plus candidates. Most people
can barely make the decision for one from a roster of (say) four in a ward
system, much less eight from thirty-plus??!
Denied
the superhuman capacity to choose 8 candidates from a pool of 30+ based off
performance and substance, many voters simply mark beside 8 familiar names.
The first 2 to 4 may be deliberate, but it’s difficult to fathom that in general, voters can informatively vote for 8 councilors. This is usually solved by picking familiar names.
The first 2 to 4 may be deliberate, but it’s difficult to fathom that in general, voters can informatively vote for 8 councilors. This is usually solved by picking familiar names.
As
for myself, during the 2014 municipal elections, I attempted to research as
much candidates as possible and vote informed. Nonetheless I found it
overwhelming and impossible to deliberately vote for eight candidates based off
performance and/or substance.
For
most candidates, all the civic mindedness seems to have evaporated after the
unsuccessful 2014 city council bid.
Think
about it. First you need to know 30+ candidates, research, review, follow,
understand all 30+, then select 8 based off the information you have.
It is easy to see why most would not bother to vote and of those that vote, the overwhelming majority will vote based on name familiarity.
It is easy to see why most would not bother to vote and of those that vote, the overwhelming majority will vote based on name familiarity.
Advise
to City Council hopefuls? If you haven’t started already, start campaigning now.
Technology
provides low hanging fruits that never existed a few decades ago.
Hit social media hard and be consistent.
Build a productive community movement.
Blog, share your thoughts.
Be transparent.
Be "civicly" involved and be public about it.
Hit social media hard and be consistent.
Build a productive community movement.
Blog, share your thoughts.
Be transparent.
Be "civicly" involved and be public about it.
From
my observations, some candidates that received my support during the 2014
election campaigns are unlikely to get that support again.
During
the campaigns, they were observed as civic champions, and quite active on
social media.
They were hopeful, opinionated and visionary.
For most candidates, all the civic mindedness seems to have evaporated after the unsuccessful 2014 city council bid. Ironically, 2018 comes around, and it’s likely that the same batch will re-appear heralding change and lamenting Niagara Falls’ leadership deficiencies.
They were hopeful, opinionated and visionary.
For most candidates, all the civic mindedness seems to have evaporated after the unsuccessful 2014 city council bid. Ironically, 2018 comes around, and it’s likely that the same batch will re-appear heralding change and lamenting Niagara Falls’ leadership deficiencies.
In
my opinion, those are the same folks that; I believe; if elected would simply
make matters worse. To me, they appear hungrier and potentially desperate,
which is a sad combination for complacency and corruption.
On
the other hand, there are some hopefuls from the 2014 campaign that I have
noticed are still very active in the community.
One candidate, I’ve noticed is leading the downtown re-vitalizing initiative and a strong advocate for businesses downtown and particularly on Queen Street.
One candidate, I’ve noticed is leading the downtown re-vitalizing initiative and a strong advocate for businesses downtown and particularly on Queen Street.
The
other was a close runner up who I notice on social media, still advocates for
the actual residents of Niagara Falls. (A silver lining is that she might
actually get into council prior to 2018 is one of the current councilors make
the shift to provincial politics.)
Aside for those two, from my observation, all other 2014 candidates seem to have simply gone silent on the civic front.
Understandably, commitments to family life will take priority, however it would help hopefuls’ chances if there is a familiarly maintained outside of the election campaign itself.
Be the pit-bull that helps citizens to keep council responsive and accountable. Help drive development and growth in the city.
Don’t go to sleep for 4 years then go begging for support when election comes around.
Put
in your 4 years of hard work and exercise a consistent commitment to the civic
concerns of the community. Maybe then we will see that clean sweep, if needed,
of the city chambers.
If that fails, then simply try a name change to Bat Mann or even Super Mann.
If that fails, then simply try a name change to Bat Mann or even Super Mann.
On
a side note and in fairness to the at-large system, many municipalities using
the more popular ward system did return an overwhelming number of incumbents to
council and also suffered from low voter turn-out.
Here
are some the voter turnout results from a handful of ward system
municipalities.
Mississauga
36%.Brampton 36%, Oshawa 26%, Sault Ste Marie 40.9% - all incumbents returned, Ajax
(online and Phone in vote allowed) 30% - all incumbents returned.



